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Logistics Leasing Activity At An All-Time High Of 33 Million Square Feet in 2019: CBRE Report

Logistics Leasing Activity At An  All-Time High Of 33 Million Square Feet in 2019: CBRE Report 1

* Bangalore, followed by NCR and Mumbai, dominated leasing activity; these cities together accounted for about 60% of the overall space take-up in 2019.
* The share of medium-sized transactions (50,000 – 1,00,000 sq. ft.) rose from 26% in 2018 to 30% in 2019.
* Supply addition rose by 78% in 2019 to cross 19 million sq. ft, compared to 2018, and was led by NCR, Mumbai and Chennai.
* The sector accounted for more than USD 200 million of the overall quantum of real estate investment in 2019.

Bengaluru, NFAPost News Service: CBRE South Asia Pvt. Ltd., India’s leading real estate consulting firm, today announced the findings of the ‘India Industrial and Logistics Market View, H2 2019’.

The CBRE report stated that leasing activity touched a historic high of 33 million sqare feet., increasing by more than 30% on an annual basis. Bangalore, NCR and Mumbai accounted for about 60% of the overall space take-up during the year.

In line with the annual trend, the second half of 2019 also recorded historic leasing activity, with about 18 million sq. ft. of space take-up; an increase of about 20% compared to H1 2019. Bangalore, NCR and Hyderabad accounted for close to 60% of the leasing.

Speaking on the report, CBRE Chairman & CEO – India, South East Asia, Middle East & Africa Anshuman Magazine said to become a $5 trillion economy, the government aims at enacting several structural reforms to improve physical connectivity.

“Further, the implementation of government initiatives such as the National Logistics Policy and the National E-commerce Policy as well as large-scale infrastructure development are expected to promote investment, thereby further improving the overall stock of warehousing space in India. The fundamentals of this sector are strengthening, backed by the recovery of domestic demand, improvement of the manufacturing sector and structural shift towards omnichannel retailing,” said CBRE Chairman & CEO – India, South East Asia, Middle East & Africa Anshuman Magazine.

3PL firms accounted for about half of the leasing activity in 2019, an increase from 36% in 2018 to 48% in 2019. They were followed by e-commerce players with a share of about 18% in 2019.

I&L space take-up in 2019 was dominated by small-sized transactions (less than 50,000 sq. ft.), which held a share of about 42%. The share of medium-sized transactions (ranging between 50,000 sq. ft. and 1,00,000 sq. ft.) rose from 26% in 2018 to 30% in 2019. Large-sized deals (greater than 1,00,000 sq. ft.) accounted for 28% of the leasing activity during 2019. The number of large-sized deal closures in Hyderabad, in particular, doubled in 2019 as compared to 2018.

Supply addition in 2019 crossed 19 million sq. ft, rising by about 78% compared to 2018. About 70% of this supply was reported in NCR, Mumbai and Chennai. In H2 2019, about 8 million sq. ft. was completed, mainly in NCR, Chennai and Bangalore.

CBRE South Asia Pvt. Ltd Nation Head – Industrial & Logistics Services & Senior Executive Director Advisory & Transactions Services Jasmine Singh said the logistics sector in India is experiencing unprecedented structural shifts in the form of automation, leading to the blurring of lines with the retail sector, transformation of supply chains and growing investment.

“The growth recorded in H2 2019 was historic, with leasing activity registering 18 million sq. ft. of space take-up.” He further added, “I&L leasing is expected to continue to be driven by 3PL firms and e-commerce players, along with retail corporates. Going forward, we expect that occupier efforts to improve supply chain efficiencies, growing tech penetration and the shift towards modern, larger warehouses would primarily drive leasing. Increasing demand for timely deliveries and growing logistics costs are also likely to propel occupiers to invest in automation and green initiatives for supply chain management,” said CBRE South Asia Pvt. Ltd Nation Head – Industrial & Logistics Services & Senior Executive Director Advisory & Transactions Services Jasmine Singh.

Backed by several government policies and reforms, the I&L sector witnessed investment of more than USD 200 million in 2019, primarily in the form of high-volume deals ($50-$100 million each). These included the partial buyout of an industrial park in Mumbai and the acquisition of two warehouses in Chennai.

Outlook

Sectoral growth to be resilient, driven by the ‘flight to quality’ sentiment: I&L leasing is expected to continue to be driven by 3PL firms and e-commerce players, along with retail corporates.

However, 3PL occupiers are expected to turn more cautious about expanding their footprint due to tightening profit margins. I&L occupiers across sectors are likely to lease additional space in quality, investment-grade pipeline to be released by leading global players in cities such as NCR, Mumbai and Bangalore.

Alternate segments to be active: Increasing global investment in data centres (DCs), especially hyperscale and edge computing, is also expected to boost I&L leasing demand. Growing demand for cold storage spaces driven by e-grocers and dark kitchens is likely to further augment I&L leasing.

Unwavering influence of location and connectivity: Occupiers would continue to place a strong emphasis on location within cities to reduce delivery timelines and transport costs. They would also continue to consolidate/expand operations within core I&L locations and prefer sites near their consumer bases.

Quality, investment-grade supply to be a game changer:  CBRE anticipates that Mumbai, NCR and Bangalore would dominate the upcoming supply in 2020.

Rental growth to continue across cities: Rental values would continue to increase, driven by newly released investment-grade assets. Developers are also expected to enhance their service offerings to retain tenants and develop new income streams such as pre-quality checks, customs clearance support and procurement solutions.

CBRE Group, Inc.

CBRE Group, Inc. a Fortune 500 and S&P 500 company headquartered in Los Angeles, is the world’s largest commercial real estate services and investment firm (based on 2018 revenue). The company has more than 90,000 employees (excluding affiliates) and serves real estate investors and occupiers through approximately 480 offices (excluding affiliates) worldwide.

CBRE offers a broad range of integrated services, including facilities, transaction and project management; property management; investment management; appraisal and valuation; property leasing; strategic consulting; property sales; mortgage services and development services.

CBRE was the first International Property Consultancy to set up an office in India in 1994. Since then, the operations have grown to include more than 8,500 professionals across 10 offices with a presence in over 80 cities in India. As a leading international property consultancy, CBRE provides clients with a wide range of real estate solutions, including Strategic Consulting, Valuations/Appraisals, Capital Markets, Agency Services, Asset Services and Project Management. The guiding principle at CBRE is to provide strategic solutions that make real estate holdings more productive and economically efficient for its clients across all service lines.

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